Creating new perspectives since 2009
Items by Hamid Bahrami
-
Will Trump push Iran towards nuclear deterrence and the East, or open door to diplomacy?
As Iran confronts an evolving global order, marked by increasing Western pressure and shifting power dynamics, it faces some critical decision-making. To safeguard its security and interests, Iran seeks to recalibrate its foreign policy, pursuing its own nuclear deterrent and strategic alliances with China and Russia. These steps are...
-
Israel lost escalation dominance: What comes next?
Israel’s strategic position in the Middle East is under unprecedented strain following Iran’s ballistic missile attack on 1 October. The missile barrage, which followed Israel’s assassination of key Hezbollah and Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) figures, demonstrates Tehran’s shifting strategy and its attempt to regain escalation dominance in the...
-
Israel’s tactical gains, strategic losses and the security black hole
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, coupled with the war ostensibly against Hamas in Gaza, presents a complex battlefield where tactical victories mask growing strategic vulnerabilities. While Israel has achieved key military successes, such as the assassination of prominent Hezbollah and Hamas leaders and the destruction of critical...
-
Geopolitical fault lines in the South Caucasus reveal a complex struggle for influence and control
As the war in Ukraine reshapes global geopolitics, the South Caucasus has emerged as a critical theatre in the broader contest between Russia and the West. The United States and the European Union have intensified efforts to reshape the region, countering Moscow’s influence and securing strategic gains. With recent...
-
Why did Israel kill Ismail Haniyeh, and what could be the repercussions?
The assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran has attracted significant international attention, highlighting the complexities of Iran’s internal and regional security dynamics. The killing underscores a potential deterioration in Iran’s internal security situation and signals a shift in the regional power balance. Israel’s manoeuvres, including the assassination of senior...
-
What does Iran’s Nuclear Policy look like with the new president?
As Iran stands on the brink of electing a new president, the future of its nuclear policy hangs in the balance. The collapse of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) following the United States’ abrupt withdrawal in 2018 has left a profound impact on Iran’s political landscape. The...
-
Analysis: The strategic shift in Iranian public opinion on nuclear weapons
The recent surge in Iranian public support for nuclear weapons, as revealed by the IranPoll survey, can be significantly attributed to the ongoing conflict in Gaza and the perceived actions of Israel. Many Iranians believe that, in a hypothetical war scenario between Iran and Israel, Israel would retaliate for...
-
Reassessing US strategy in the Middle East: the rise of Iran and the overshadowed threat of China
In the complex tapestry of global geopolitics, the recent missile attack by Iran against Israeli targets marks a critical shift in the Middle East’s security paradigm. This event, far from being a deterrent act, signifies a new security balance in the region, heavily skewed in favour of Iran. This...